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Draw Challenges
2024 Australian Open Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (1662 participants)
Champion
E Rybakina [3] 883 53.4%
I Swiatek [1] 259 15.7%
A Sabalenka [2] 228 13.8%
Zheng QW [12] 144 8.7%
C Gauff [4] 61 3.7%
J Ostapenko [11] 20 1.2%
N Osaka 10 0.6%
4:
L Samsonova [13]
M Sakkari [8]
3:
D Kasatkina [14]
J Pegula [5]
E Raducanu
M Andreeva
Wang XiY
2:
A Kerber
Zhu L [29]
A Anisimova
V Azarenka [18]
Ka Pliskova
A Parks
1:
A Korneeva [Q]
C Wozniacki [W]
O Jabeur [6]
L Sun [Q]
M Linette [20]
V Kudermetova [15]
Bai ZX
D Collins
E Navarro [27]
B Krejcikova [9]
E Alexandrova [17]
A Pavlyuchenkova
J Paolini [26]
Winner of Top Half
E Rybakina [3] 1051 63.6%
I Swiatek [1] 312 18.9%
Zheng QW [12] 202 12.2%
J Ostapenko [11] 38 2.3%
J Pegula [5] 11 0.7%
Wang XiY 5 0.3%
V Azarenka [18] 5 0.3%
E Svitolina [19] 5 0.3%
3:
Ka Pliskova
A Kerber
E Raducanu
D Kasatkina [14]
2:
M Vondrousova [7]
Zhu L [29]
1:
D Yastremska [Q]
Yuan Yue
C Tauson
L Sun [Q]
V Kudermetova [15]
D Collins
E Navarro [27]
J Paolini [26]
Winner of Bottom Half
A Sabalenka [2] 1042 63.0%
C Gauff [4] 444 26.9%
N Osaka 43 2.6%
M Andreeva 18 1.1%
L Samsonova [13] 17 1.0%
Wang XinY [30] 14 0.8%
O Jabeur [6] 13 0.8%
M Sakkari [8] 10 0.6%
B Krejcikova [9] 9 0.5%
C Garcia [16] 6 0.4%
4:
E Alexandrova [17]
A Potapova [23]
A Anisimova
L Fernandez [32]
3:
C Wozniacki [W]
B Haddad Maia [10]
2:
P Badosa
D Vekic [21]
A Parks
A Pavlyuchenkova
1:
M Linette [20]
A Korneeva [Q]
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
E Mertens [25]
Bai ZX
N Podoroska
E Avanesyan
Finalists
E Rybakina [3] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 734 44.4%
E Rybakina [3] VS     C Gauff [4] 256 15.5%
I Swiatek [1] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 157 9.5%
I Swiatek [1] VS     C Gauff [4] 116 7.0%
Zheng QW [12] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 104 6.3%
Zheng QW [12] VS     C Gauff [4] 55 3.3%
J Ostapenko [11] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 27 1.6%
E Rybakina [3] VS     N Osaka 23 1.4%
Zheng QW [12] VS     Wang XinY [30] 12 0.7%
I Swiatek [1] VS     N Osaka 10 0.6%
I Swiatek [1] VS     L Samsonova [13] 9 0.5%
J Pegula [5] VS     A Sabalenka [2] 8 0.5%
Zheng QW [12] VS     N Osaka 7 0.4%
E Rybakina [3] VS     O Jabeur [6] 6 0.4%
E Rybakina [3] VS     C Garcia [16] 6 0.4%
E Rybakina [3] VS     M Andreeva 6 0.4%
Zheng QW [12] VS     M Andreeva 6 0.4%
J Ostapenko [11] VS     C Gauff [4] 6 0.4%
I Swiatek [1] VS     M Andreeva 6 0.4%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
E Rybakina [3] VS L Samsonova [13]
V Azarenka [18] VS A Sabalenka [2]
I Swiatek [1] VS O Jabeur [6]
3:
A Kerber VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Svitolina [19] VS C Gauff [4]
Zheng QW [12] VS L Samsonova [13]
E Rybakina [3] VS M Sakkari [8]
I Swiatek [1] VS M Sakkari [8]
Zheng QW [12] VS O Jabeur [6]
E Rybakina [3] VS B Krejcikova [9]
2:
I Swiatek [1] VS B Krejcikova [9]
I Swiatek [1] VS A Potapova [23]
E Rybakina [3] VS A Anisimova
J Ostapenko [11] VS N Osaka
D Kasatkina [14] VS C Gauff [4]
Zheng QW [12] VS B Krejcikova [9]
E Rybakina [3] VS D Vekic [21]
Zheng QW [12] VS M Sakkari [8]
Ka Pliskova VS B Krejcikova [9]
Wang XiY VS Wang XinY [30]
E Rybakina [3] VS L Fernandez [32]
1:
Wang XiY VS Bai ZX
J Ostapenko [11] VS A Parks
J Ostapenko [11] VS M Sakkari [8]
Zheng QW [12] VS C Wozniacki [W]
D Collins VS C Gauff [4]
E Navarro [27] VS N Podoroska
E Rybakina [3] VS P Badosa
I Swiatek [1] VS E Avanesyan
J Pegula [5] VS N Osaka
Zheng QW [12] VS A Potapova [23]
J Pegula [5] VS C Gauff [4]
M Vondrousova [7] VS A Sabalenka [2]
Zhu L [29] VS A Anisimova
J Pegula [5] VS E Alexandrova [17]
J Ostapenko [11] VS A Pavlyuchenkova
Zheng QW [12] VS A Anisimova
J Paolini [26] VS B Haddad Maia [10]
D Kasatkina [14] VS L Samsonova [13]
I Swiatek [1] VS E Alexandrova [17]
V Kudermetova [15] VS B Haddad Maia [10]
Zheng QW [12] VS B Haddad Maia [10]
E Rybakina [3] VS A Pavlyuchenkova
Zhu L [29] VS C Gauff [4]
Wang XiY VS C Gauff [4]
E Raducanu VS L Fernandez [32]
V Azarenka [18] VS C Gauff [4]
M Vondrousova [7] VS M Linette [20]
D Yastremska [Q] VS A Parks
Yuan Yue VS A Sabalenka [2]
Zheng QW [12] VS L Fernandez [32]
Wang XiY VS A Sabalenka [2]
C Tauson VS C Wozniacki [W]
Ka Pliskova VS A Sabalenka [2]
E Rybakina [3] VS E Alexandrova [17]
Zheng QW [12] VS A Korneeva [Q]
E Raducanu VS C Wozniacki [W]
E Rybakina [3] VS A Potapova [23]
Zheng QW [12] VS P Badosa
Zheng QW [12] VS E Alexandrova [17]
L Sun [Q] VS Y Starodubtseva [Q]
E Raducanu VS C Gauff [4]
I Swiatek [1] VS E Mertens [25]
E Svitolina [19] VS M Sakkari [8]
E Svitolina [19] VS A Sabalenka [2]
Winner of 1st Quarter
I Swiatek [1] 855 51.7%
J Ostapenko [11] 642 38.8%
E Svitolina [19] 48 2.9%
V Azarenka [18] 39 2.4%
Wang XiY 33 2.0%
V Kudermetova [15] 12 0.7%
M Vondrousova [7] 9 0.5%
4:
L Noskova
3:
A Kerber
2:
E Navarro [27]
1:
D Yastremska [Q]
M Bouzkova [31]
C Tauson
S Kenin
L Sun [Q]
D Collins
C Giorgi
Winner of 2nd Quarter
E Rybakina [3] 1282 77.6%
Zheng QW [12] 273 16.5%
J Pegula [5] 59 3.6%
Ka Pliskova 8 0.5%
D Kasatkina [14] 6 0.4%
A Kalinskaya 5 0.3%
E Raducanu 5 0.3%
4:
Zhu L [29]
2:
Yuan Yue
J Paolini [26]
S Cirstea [22]
S Stephens
1:
K Boulter
R Zarazua [Q]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
C Gauff [4] 1272 77.0%
N Osaka 140 8.5%
B Haddad Maia [10] 45 2.7%
M Sakkari [8] 41 2.5%
C Wozniacki [W] 33 2.0%
A Potapova [23] 32 1.9%
C Garcia [16] 28 1.7%
L Fernandez [32] 17 1.0%
Bai ZX 15 0.9%
E Mertens [25] 9 0.5%
4:
L Fruhvirtova
M Kostyuk
3:
A Parks
2:
A Korneeva [Q]
M Linette [20]
E Avanesyan
1:
D Saville [W]
M Timofeeva [Q]
AK Schmiedlova
C Dolehide
Winner of 4th Quarter
A Sabalenka [2] 1475 89.2%
M Andreeva 43 2.6%
L Samsonova [13] 31 1.9%
O Jabeur [6] 28 1.7%
Wang XinY [30] 19 1.1%
B Krejcikova [9] 17 1.0%
E Alexandrova [17] 16 1.0%
A Pavlyuchenkova 8 0.5%
A Anisimova 6 0.4%
4:
D Vekic [21]
3:
P Badosa
1:
L Siegemund
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
N Podoroska
Winner of Section 1
I Swiatek [1] 1468 88.4%
E Svitolina [19] 117 7.0%
V Kudermetova [15] 38 2.3%
D Collins 12 0.7%
A Kerber 10 0.6%
L Noskova 8 0.5%
4:
S Kenin
1:
M Bouzkova [31]
F Ferro [Q]
K Siniakova
Winner of Section 2
J Ostapenko [11] 927 55.9%
V Azarenka [18] 418 25.2%
M Vondrousova [7] 142 8.6%
Wang XiY 118 7.1%
E Navarro [27] 31 1.9%
A Tomljanovic 6 0.4%
4:
P Martic
3:
D Yastremska [Q]
V Gracheva
C Giorgi
C Tauson
1:
L Sun [Q]
Winner of Section 3
E Rybakina [3] 1554 93.8%
D Kasatkina [14] 59 3.6%
Ka Pliskova 16 1.0%
A Kalinskaya 12 0.7%
J Paolini [26] 5 0.3%
4:
S Stephens
2:
A Kalinina [24]
1:
C Bucsa
K Volynets [Q]
C Osorio
T Maria
Winner of Section 4
Zheng QW [12] 1163 70.2%
J Pegula [5] 395 23.8%
Zhu L [29] 27 1.6%
E Raducanu 25 1.5%
S Cirstea [22] 21 1.3%
K Boulter 19 1.1%
4:
Yuan Yue
2:
Wang YF
1:
R Zarazua [Q]
Winner of Section 5
B Haddad Maia [10] 540 32.6%
M Sakkari [8] 423 25.5%
C Wozniacki [W] 387 23.4%
E Mertens [25] 139 8.4%
M Kostyuk 45 2.7%
M Linette [20] 36 2.2%
L Fruhvirtova 29 1.8%
Bai ZX 28 1.7%
E Avanesyan 8 0.5%
M Timofeeva [Q] 6 0.4%
S Sorribes Tormo 5 0.3%
4:
A Korneeva [Q]
M Sherif
2:
A Cornet [W]
Winner of Section 6
C Gauff [4] 1353 81.8%
N Osaka 171 10.3%
A Potapova [23] 53 3.2%
C Garcia [16] 40 2.4%
L Fernandez [32] 25 1.5%
4:
D Saville [W]
3:
A Parks
2:
C Dolehide
1:
D Snigur [Q]
AK Schmiedlova
M Frech
Y Putintseva
Winner of Section 7
M Andreeva 560 33.8%
O Jabeur [6] 392 23.7%
B Krejcikova [9] 252 15.2%
E Alexandrova [17] 234 14.1%
Wang XinY [30] 182 11.0%
L Siegemund 30 1.8%
3:
B Pera
2:
Y Starodubtseva [Q]
Winner of Section 8
A Sabalenka [2] 1559 94.2%
L Samsonova [13] 49 3.0%
A Pavlyuchenkova 15 0.9%
D Vekic [21] 12 0.7%
A Anisimova 12 0.7%
4:
P Badosa
2:
N Podoroska
1:
A Sasnovich
B Fruhvirtova [Q]