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Draw Challenges
2025 Australian Open Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (3261 participants)
Champion
C Gauff [3] 1094 33.7%
Zheng QW [5] 1053 32.4%
A Sabalenka [1] 587 18.1%
E Rybakina [6] 225 6.9%
I Swiatek [2] 203 6.3%
K Muchova [20] 20 0.6%
N Osaka 11 0.3%
M Keys [19] 7 0.2%
Zhang Shuai [W] 6 0.2%
3:
Wang XiY
A Anisimova
E Lys [L]
K Boulter [22]
D Kasatkina [9]
E Raducanu
M Andreeva [14]
Y Putintseva [24]
2:
L Samsonova [25]
J Pegula [7]
Wang XinY
1:
H Dart [L]
J Riera [Q]
E Svitolina [28]
S Kenin
V Erjavec [Q]
Wei SJ [Q]
V Azarenka [21]
E Mertens
J Paolini [4]
D Snigur [Q]
B Bencic
L Sun
Winner of Top Half
C Gauff [3] 1283 39.5%
Zheng QW [5] 1097 33.8%
A Sabalenka [1] 770 23.7%
K Muchova [20] 41 1.3%
N Osaka 19 0.6%
M Andreeva [14] 9 0.3%
J Pegula [7] 8 0.2%
3:
H Dart [L]
D Vekic [18]
2:
J Ostapenko [16]
B Bencic
L Samsonova [25]
Wang XinY
1:
P Badosa [11]
J Burrage
V Erjavec [Q]
E Mertens
T Gibson [W]
S Kenin
M Chwalinska [Q]
A Krueger
Winner of Bottom Half
I Swiatek [2] 1526 47.0%
E Rybakina [6] 1189 36.6%
M Keys [19] 137 4.2%
J Paolini [4] 121 3.7%
K Boulter [22] 37 1.1%
A Anisimova 35 1.1%
O Jabeur 28 0.9%
Y Putintseva [24] 28 0.9%
E Lys [L] 24 0.7%
V Azarenka [21] 22 0.7%
Zhang Shuai [W] 21 0.6%
D Collins [10] 16 0.5%
E Navarro [8] 12 0.4%
Wang YF 7 0.2%
E Raducanu 6 0.2%
E Alexandrova [26] 6 0.2%
4:
E Svitolina [28]
L Sun
Wang XiY
3:
D Kasatkina [9]
Wei SJ [Q]
V Kudermetova
E Andreeva
2:
P Stearns
E Avanesyan
1:
A Kalinina
M Kessler
J Riera [Q]
D Snigur [Q]
S Cirstea
J Grabher
Zheng SS
Finalists
C Gauff [3] VS     I Swiatek [2] 716 22.0%
Zheng QW [5] VS     E Rybakina [6] 446 13.7%
C Gauff [3] VS     E Rybakina [6] 404 12.4%
Zheng QW [5] VS     I Swiatek [2] 401 12.3%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     I Swiatek [2] 367 11.3%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     E Rybakina [6] 312 9.6%
Zheng QW [5] VS     J Paolini [4] 70 2.2%
C Gauff [3] VS     M Keys [19] 53 1.6%
Zheng QW [5] VS     M Keys [19] 49 1.5%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     M Keys [19] 29 0.9%
C Gauff [3] VS     J Paolini [4] 28 0.9%
Zheng QW [5] VS     A Anisimova 21 0.6%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     J Paolini [4] 20 0.6%
C Gauff [3] VS     Y Putintseva [24] 19 0.6%
Zheng QW [5] VS     K Boulter [22] 17 0.5%
K Muchova [20] VS     I Swiatek [2] 16 0.5%
Zheng QW [5] VS     Zhang Shuai [W] 16 0.5%
Zheng QW [5] VS     E Lys [L] 13 0.4%
K Muchova [20] VS     E Rybakina [6] 13 0.4%
C Gauff [3] VS     K Boulter [22] 12 0.4%
Zheng QW [5] VS     O Jabeur 12 0.4%
C Gauff [3] VS     O Jabeur 12 0.4%
Zheng QW [5] VS     V Azarenka [21] 10 0.3%
Zheng QW [5] VS     D Collins [10] 9 0.3%
C Gauff [3] VS     A Anisimova 8 0.2%
C Gauff [3] VS     E Lys [L] 7 0.2%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     K Boulter [22] 7 0.2%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     V Azarenka [21] 7 0.2%
N Osaka VS     I Swiatek [2] 7 0.2%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     A Anisimova 6 0.2%
Zheng QW [5] VS     E Navarro [8] 6 0.2%
N Osaka VS     E Rybakina [6] 6 0.2%
Zheng QW [5] VS     Wang YF 5 0.2%
C Gauff [3] VS     V Azarenka [21] 5 0.2%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
J Pegula [7] VS I Swiatek [2]
A Sabalenka [1] VS O Jabeur
M Andreeva [14] VS I Swiatek [2]
M Andreeva [14] VS E Rybakina [6]
3:
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Navarro [8]
C Gauff [3] VS D Kasatkina [9]
A Sabalenka [1] VS Y Putintseva [24]
Zheng QW [5] VS E Alexandrova [26]
Zheng QW [5] VS Y Putintseva [24]
Zheng QW [5] VS L Sun
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Lys [L]
K Muchova [20] VS M Keys [19]
K Muchova [20] VS J Paolini [4]
C Gauff [3] VS E Navarro [8]
A Sabalenka [1] VS D Collins [10]
2:
K Muchova [20] VS Y Putintseva [24]
D Vekic [18] VS I Swiatek [2]
Zheng QW [5] VS E Raducanu
C Gauff [3] VS Zhang Shuai [W]
J Pegula [7] VS E Rybakina [6]
B Bencic VS I Swiatek [2]
Zheng QW [5] VS Wang XiY
Zheng QW [5] VS Wei SJ [Q]
Zheng QW [5] VS V Kudermetova
C Gauff [3] VS E Raducanu
H Dart [L] VS I Swiatek [2]
C Gauff [3] VS E Alexandrova [26]
K Muchova [20] VS D Collins [10]
N Osaka VS E Raducanu
C Gauff [3] VS D Collins [10]
N Osaka VS M Keys [19]
1:
P Badosa [11] VS I Swiatek [2]
C Gauff [3] VS E Andreeva
C Gauff [3] VS Wang XiY
J Ostapenko [16] VS I Swiatek [2]
J Pegula [7] VS Y Putintseva [24]
J Pegula [7] VS K Boulter [22]
M Chwalinska [Q] VS I Swiatek [2]
Zheng QW [5] VS P Stearns
Zheng QW [5] VS E Svitolina [28]
A Krueger VS I Swiatek [2]
K Muchova [20] VS A Kalinina
Zheng QW [5] VS M Kessler
K Muchova [20] VS E Lys [L]
Wang XinY VS L Sun
N Osaka VS Zhang Shuai [W]
Wang XinY VS Zheng SS
Zheng QW [5] VS E Andreeva
C Gauff [3] VS S Cirstea
T Gibson [W] VS D Snigur [Q]
L Samsonova [25] VS E Alexandrova [26]
A Sabalenka [1] VS P Stearns
E Mertens VS E Svitolina [28]
A Sabalenka [1] VS V Kudermetova
C Gauff [3] VS E Svitolina [28]
J Burrage VS J Riera [Q]
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Svitolina [28]
Zheng QW [5] VS E Avanesyan
C Gauff [3] VS E Avanesyan
N Osaka VS Wang YF
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Andreeva
V Erjavec [Q] VS J Grabher
H Dart [L] VS E Rybakina [6]
A Sabalenka [1] VS Wang YF
J Ostapenko [16] VS Wang XiY
D Vekic [18] VS Zhang Shuai [W]
L Samsonova [25] VS E Rybakina [6]
S Kenin VS Zhang Shuai [W]
A Sabalenka [1] VS Wei SJ [Q]
M Andreeva [14] VS M Keys [19]
Winner of 1st Quarter
A Sabalenka [1] 1859 57.2%
Zheng QW [5] 1340 41.2%
M Andreeva [14] 21 0.6%
D Vekic [18] 9 0.3%
H Dart [L] 8 0.2%
3:
P Kudermetova [Q]
2:
D Shnaider [12]
A Pavlyuchenkova [27]
A Krueger
1:
M Linette
S Kartal
M Uchijima
Winner of 2nd Quarter
C Gauff [3] 2632 81.0%
J Pegula [7] 178 5.5%
K Muchova [20] 167 5.1%
N Osaka 83 2.6%
P Badosa [11] 55 1.7%
J Ostapenko [16] 53 1.6%
Wang XinY 30 0.9%
L Samsonova [25] 24 0.7%
M Kostyuk [17] 6 0.2%
B Bencic 5 0.2%
4:
E Mertens
3:
S Kenin
L Fernandez [30]
1:
J Burrage
V Erjavec [Q]
T Gibson [W]
M Chwalinska [Q]
Y Starodubtseva
Winner of 3rd Quarter
E Rybakina [6] 1997 61.5%
J Paolini [4] 512 15.8%
M Keys [19] 484 14.9%
K Boulter [22] 127 3.9%
D Collins [10] 51 1.6%
E Svitolina [28] 16 0.5%
V Kudermetova 13 0.4%
Wei SJ [Q] 9 0.3%
B Haddad Maia [15] 8 0.2%
D Yastremska [32] 8 0.2%
E Andreeva 8 0.2%
L Sun 7 0.2%
2:
D Snigur [Q]
Zheng SS
1:
J Riera [Q]
D Kovinic
T Townsend
S Cirstea
EG Ruse [Q]
Winner of 4th Quarter
I Swiatek [2] 2389 73.5%
Y Putintseva [24] 152 4.7%
E Lys [L] 141 4.3%
A Anisimova 137 4.2%
V Azarenka [21] 135 4.2%
O Jabeur 94 2.9%
Zhang Shuai [W] 39 1.2%
E Navarro [8] 32 1.0%
E Alexandrova [26] 29 0.9%
Wang YF 28 0.9%
D Kasatkina [9] 22 0.7%
E Raducanu 13 0.4%
Wang XiY 10 0.3%
P Stearns 5 0.2%
4:
A Kalinina
3:
K Siniakova
M Sakkari [31]
E Avanesyan
2:
M Kessler
V Tomova
1:
R Sramkova
J Grabher
A Bondar
J Cristian
K Birrell [Q]
C Osorio
Winner of Section 1
A Sabalenka [1] 2835 87.1%
M Andreeva [14] 341 10.5%
P Kudermetova [Q] 50 1.5%
L Noskova [29] 12 0.4%
4:
C Tauson
2:
M Linette
A Blinkova
S Stephens
M Bouzkova
M Frech [23]
1:
D Saville [W]
S Kartal
M Uchijima
Winner of Section 2
Zheng QW [5] 3000 92.2%
D Shnaider [12] 100 3.1%
H Dart [L] 69 2.1%
A Pavlyuchenkova [27] 27 0.8%
D Vekic [18] 24 0.7%
A Krueger 19 0.6%
Yuan Yue 7 0.2%
4:
A Potapova
1:
T Zidansek [Q]
J Fett [Q]
AA Todoni [Q]
H Baptiste
Winner of Section 3
C Gauff [3] 2822 86.7%
K Muchova [20] 219 6.7%
N Osaka 110 3.4%
J Ostapenko [16] 72 2.2%
B Bencic 13 0.4%
L Fernandez [30] 8 0.2%
S Kenin 5 0.2%
2:
Y Starodubtseva
1:
J Burrage
V Erjavec [Q]
S Lamens
Winner of Section 4
J Pegula [7] 1805 55.5%
P Badosa [11] 627 19.3%
L Samsonova [25] 367 11.3%
Wang XinY 264 8.1%
M Kostyuk [17] 122 3.8%
E Mertens 37 1.1%
J Niemeier 7 0.2%
M Joint [W] 6 0.2%
K Rakhimova 6 0.2%
4:
O Danilovic
2:
N Hibino [Q]
Z Sonmez
1:
V Golubic [Q]
A Rus
T Gibson [W]
M Chwalinska [Q]
Winner of Section 5
E Rybakina [6] 2472 75.9%
M Keys [19] 653 20.1%
D Collins [10] 91 2.8%
D Yastremska [32] 13 0.4%
L Sun 13 0.4%
2:
D Snigur [Q]
EG Ruse [Q]
1:
IC Begu
A Li
D Kovinic
E Jones [W]
M Sherif
D Aiava [Q]
I Jovic [W]
N Parrizas Diaz
G Minnen
Winner of Section 6
J Paolini [4] 1848 56.8%
K Boulter [22] 880 27.1%
E Svitolina [28] 234 7.2%
V Kudermetova 102 3.1%
B Haddad Maia [15] 62 1.9%
Wei SJ [Q] 59 1.8%
E Andreeva 35 1.1%
S Cirstea 11 0.3%
T Townsend 7 0.2%
C Dolehide 5 0.2%
4:
Zheng SS
2:
S Bejlek [Q]
1:
J Riera [Q]
R Zarazua
R Marino
O Gadecki
Winner of Section 7
Y Putintseva [24] 860 26.4%
O Jabeur 732 22.5%
D Kasatkina [9] 567 17.4%
E Navarro [8] 466 14.3%
Zhang Shuai [W] 247 7.6%
Wang YF 144 4.4%
Wang XiY 61 1.9%
M Sakkari [31] 44 1.4%
A Kalinina 37 1.1%
E Avanesyan 37 1.1%
P Stearns 27 0.8%
M Kessler 14 0.4%
C Osorio 9 0.3%
V Tomova 7 0.2%
1:
J Grabher
A Bondar
Winner of Section 8
I Swiatek [2] 2525 77.6%
E Lys [L] 230 7.1%
A Anisimova 205 6.3%
V Azarenka [21] 194 6.0%
E Alexandrova [26] 65 2.0%
E Raducanu 18 0.6%
K Siniakova 8 0.2%
2:
K Birrell [Q]
1:
P Martic [L]
R Sramkova
ML Carle
V Gracheva
J Cristian
L Bronzetti
C McNally