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Draw Challenges
2025 Madrid Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (521 participants)
Champion
K Majchrzak [L] 262 50.5%
N Djokovic [4] 104 20.0%
H Rune [8] 26 5.0%
A Zverev [1] 24 4.6%
A Fils [13] 13 2.5%
T Fritz [3] 10 1.9%
D Medvedev [9] 9 1.7%
C Ruud [14] 9 1.7%
A de Minaur [6] 8 1.5%
J Fonseca 8 1.5%
L Musetti [10] 7 1.3%
J Mensik [22] 6 1.2%
J Draper [5] 6 1.2%
S Tsitsipas [17] 5 1.0%
4:
F Cerundolo [20]
3:
A Rublev [7]
2:
T Paul [11]
G Dimitrov [15]
Bu YCKT
M Landaluce [W]
B Shelton [12]
1:
F Tiafoe [16]
S Korda [23]
M Navone
F Cina [W]
L Tien
Winner of Top Half
H Rune [8] 114 22.0%
A Zverev [1] 95 18.3%
A Fils [13] 66 12.7%
D Medvedev [9] 57 11.0%
C Ruud [14] 50 9.6%
T Fritz [3] 40 7.7%
J Mensik [22] 35 6.7%
A Rublev [7] 32 6.2%
F Cerundolo [20] 14 2.7%
4:
B Shelton [12]
2:
L Djere
1:
A Davidovich Fokina [28]
F Auger-Aliassime [18]
JM Cerundolo [Q]
M Cilic [W]
S Korda [23]
M Navone
A Popyrin [25]
F Cina [W]
G Monfils
H Hurkacz [27]
Winner of Bottom Half
K Majchrzak [L] 305 58.8%
N Djokovic [4] 134 25.8%
A de Minaur [6] 16 3.1%
L Musetti [10] 14 2.7%
J Draper [5] 12 2.3%
J Fonseca 12 2.3%
S Tsitsipas [17] 10 1.9%
3:
G Dimitrov [15]
T Paul [11]
2:
Bu YCKT
M Landaluce [W]
1:
F Tiafoe [16]
J Lehecka [26]
T Griekspoor
U Humbert [21]
L Tien
A Vukic
Finalists
H Rune [8] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 71 13.7%
A Zverev [1] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 59 11.4%
A Fils [13] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 44 8.5%
H Rune [8] VS     N Djokovic [4] 30 5.8%
C Ruud [14] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 29 5.6%
D Medvedev [9] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 28 5.4%
A Zverev [1] VS     N Djokovic [4] 28 5.4%
D Medvedev [9] VS     N Djokovic [4] 21 4.0%
J Mensik [22] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 20 3.9%
T Fritz [3] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 20 3.9%
A Rublev [7] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 19 3.7%
C Ruud [14] VS     N Djokovic [4] 11 2.1%
T Fritz [3] VS     N Djokovic [4] 10 1.9%
A Rublev [7] VS     N Djokovic [4] 9 1.7%
A Fils [13] VS     N Djokovic [4] 9 1.7%
J Mensik [22] VS     N Djokovic [4] 8 1.5%
F Cerundolo [20] VS     K Majchrzak [L] 7 1.3%
A Fils [13] VS     A de Minaur [6] 5 1.0%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
C Ruud [14] VS A de Minaur [6]
J Mensik [22] VS J Fonseca
F Cerundolo [20] VS N Djokovic [4]
H Rune [8] VS A de Minaur [6]
3:
T Fritz [3] VS L Musetti [10]
A Zverev [1] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
C Ruud [14] VS J Draper [5]
A Fils [13] VS J Fonseca
2:
D Medvedev [9] VS L Musetti [10]
T Fritz [3] VS A de Minaur [6]
D Medvedev [9] VS J Draper [5]
C Ruud [14] VS L Musetti [10]
T Fritz [3] VS J Draper [5]
H Rune [8] VS J Fonseca
H Rune [8] VS L Musetti [10]
H Rune [8] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
1:
A Zverev [1] VS T Paul [11]
F Cerundolo [20] VS L Musetti [10]
C Ruud [14] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
T Fritz [3] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
J Mensik [22] VS J Draper [5]
A Zverev [1] VS J Draper [5]
F Cerundolo [20] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
A Zverev [1] VS F Tiafoe [16]
F Cerundolo [20] VS G Dimitrov [15]
A Zverev [1] VS L Musetti [10]
D Medvedev [9] VS T Paul [11]
D Medvedev [9] VS J Fonseca
A Zverev [1] VS J Fonseca
A Davidovich Fokina [28] VS K Majchrzak [L]
F Auger-Aliassime [18] VS K Majchrzak [L]
L Djere VS K Majchrzak [L]
A Rublev [7] VS J Draper [5]
J Mensik [22] VS Bu YCKT
JM Cerundolo [Q] VS M Landaluce [W]
B Shelton [12] VS T Paul [11]
H Rune [8] VS G Dimitrov [15]
A Rublev [7] VS Bu YCKT
T Fritz [3] VS J Lehecka [26]
M Cilic [W] VS K Majchrzak [L]
S Korda [23] VS N Djokovic [4]
A Fils [13] VS L Musetti [10]
L Djere VS N Djokovic [4]
A Fils [13] VS T Griekspoor
T Fritz [3] VS J Fonseca
A Fils [13] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
H Rune [8] VS U Humbert [21]
M Navone VS K Majchrzak [L]
A Popyrin [25] VS N Djokovic [4]
A Fils [13] VS G Dimitrov [15]
A Rublev [7] VS S Tsitsipas [17]
F Cina [W] VS L Musetti [10]
A Fils [13] VS J Draper [5]
D Medvedev [9] VS L Tien
G Monfils VS K Majchrzak [L]
H Rune [8] VS J Draper [5]
B Shelton [12] VS K Majchrzak [L]
H Hurkacz [27] VS K Majchrzak [L]
B Shelton [12] VS L Musetti [10]
J Mensik [22] VS M Landaluce [W]
A Rublev [7] VS A de Minaur [6]
D Medvedev [9] VS A Vukic
B Shelton [12] VS N Djokovic [4]
Winner of 1st Quarter
A Zverev [1] 176 33.9%
A Fils [13] 145 27.9%
J Mensik [22] 78 15.0%
A Rublev [7] 56 10.8%
F Cerundolo [20] 30 5.8%
A Davidovich Fokina [28] 12 2.3%
B Shelton [12] 11 2.1%
A Popyrin [25] 5 1.0%
1:
A Bublik
A Michelsen
M Navone
G Monfils
G Mpetshi Perricard
D Lajovic [Q]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
H Rune [8] 195 37.6%
C Ruud [14] 120 23.1%
D Medvedev [9] 108 20.8%
T Fritz [3] 77 14.8%
4:
H Hurkacz [27]
3:
F Auger-Aliassime [18]
L Djere
2:
S Korda [23]
M Cilic [W]
Wong CLC [W]
1:
JM Cerundolo [Q]
F Marozsan
F Cina [W]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
N Djokovic [4] 331 63.8%
J Draper [5] 81 15.6%
J Fonseca 39 7.5%
T Paul [11] 21 4.0%
M Berrettini [30] 17 3.3%
T Griekspoor 9 1.7%
U Humbert [21] 5 1.0%
4:
K Khachanov [24]
S Baez [32]
3:
F Tiafoe [16]
1:
M Arnaldi
R Hijikata [L]
D Goffin
L Tien
A Muller
Winner of 4th Quarter
K Majchrzak [L] 418 80.5%
S Tsitsipas [17] 29 5.6%
A de Minaur [6] 29 5.6%
L Musetti [10] 24 4.6%
G Dimitrov [15] 5 1.0%
4:
T Machac [19]
3:
J Lehecka [26]
2:
Bu YCKT
M Landaluce [W]
1:
D Shapovalov [29]
H Medjedovic
A Vukic
Winner of Section 1
A Zverev [1] 236 45.3%
A Fils [13] 217 41.7%
F Cerundolo [20] 46 8.8%
A Davidovich Fokina [28] 20 3.8%
1:
F Comesana
R Bautista Agut
Winner of Section 2
J Mensik [22] 213 40.9%
A Rublev [7] 189 36.3%
B Shelton [12] 56 10.7%
A Popyrin [25] 33 6.3%
G Monfils 12 2.3%
A Michelsen 7 1.3%
G Mpetshi Perricard 5 1.0%
3:
E Quinn [Q]
1:
A Bublik
M Navone
D Lajovic [Q]
Winner of Section 3
C Ruud [14] 317 60.8%
T Fritz [3] 179 34.4%
S Korda [23] 8 1.5%
H Hurkacz [27] 6 1.2%
4:
M Cilic [W]
Wong CLC [W]
2:
F Cina [W]
1:
C O'Connell
Winner of Section 4
H Rune [8] 306 58.7%
D Medvedev [9] 173 33.2%
F Auger-Aliassime [18] 22 4.2%
B Nakashima [31] 7 1.3%
L Djere 7 1.3%
4:
F Marozsan
1:
JM Cerundolo [Q]
F Cobolli
Winner of Section 5
J Draper [5] 217 41.7%
J Fonseca 82 15.7%
T Paul [11] 78 15.0%
M Berrettini [30] 70 13.4%
T Griekspoor 36 6.9%
K Khachanov [24] 34 6.5%
2:
L Tien
1:
M Giron
R Hijikata [L]
Winner of Section 6
N Djokovic [4] 442 84.8%
U Humbert [21] 31 6.0%
S Baez [32] 16 3.1%
F Tiafoe [16] 13 2.5%
M Arnaldi 6 1.2%
4:
D Goffin
2:
L Darderi
Q Halys
B Coric [Q]
A Muller
1:
D Dzumhur
Winner of Section 7
S Tsitsipas [17] 235 45.1%
L Musetti [10] 138 26.5%
A de Minaur [6] 130 25.0%
D Shapovalov [29] 8 1.5%
4:
H Medjedovic
3:
K Nishikori
1:
L Sonego
B van de Zandschulp [L]
A Vukic
Winner of Section 8
K Majchrzak [L] 451 86.6%
T Machac [19] 33 6.3%
J Lehecka [26] 18 3.5%
G Dimitrov [15] 11 2.1%
Bu YCKT 5 1.0%
2:
M Landaluce [W]
1:
Z Bergs