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Draw Challenges
2025 Madrid Women's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (901 participants)
Champion
Zheng QW [8] 350 39.1%
A Sabalenka [1] 197 22.0%
I Swiatek [2] 119 13.3%
M Andreeva [7] 81 9.0%
C Gauff [4] 30 3.3%
E Rybakina [10] 28 3.1%
J Ostapenko [23] 22 2.5%
M Keys [5] 13 1.5%
E Alexandrova [21] 12 1.3%
J Pegula [3] 11 1.2%
A Anisimova [15] 7 0.8%
E Cocciaretto [L] 6 0.7%
4:
E Navarro [11]
3:
D Vekic [19]
2:
E Svitolina [17]
V Kudermetova
B Bencic
J Paolini [6]
1:
M Sakkari
D Kasatkina [14]
L Fernandez [25]
E Raducanu
A Kalinskaya [30]
Winner of Top Half
Zheng QW [8] 410 45.7%
A Sabalenka [1] 295 32.9%
E Alexandrova [21] 53 5.9%
E Rybakina [10] 52 5.8%
J Pegula [3] 33 3.7%
A Anisimova [15] 22 2.5%
E Svitolina [17] 12 1.3%
J Paolini [6] 9 1.0%
2:
V Kudermetova
O Jabeur [26]
E Raducanu
1:
M Sakkari
M Kostyuk [24]
A Krueger
C Bucsa [L]
D Kasatkina [14]
Winner of Bottom Half
M Andreeva [7] 290 32.3%
I Swiatek [2] 177 19.7%
J Ostapenko [23] 152 16.9%
C Gauff [4] 128 14.3%
M Keys [5] 65 7.2%
E Cocciaretto [L] 32 3.6%
B Bencic 12 1.3%
D Vekic [19] 12 1.3%
E Navarro [11] 10 1.1%
4:
N Osaka
A Kalinskaya [30]
3:
A Eala [W]
2:
C Tauson [20]
1:
A Sevastova
S Cirstea
L Fernandez [25]
L Samsonova [18]
A Pavlyuchenkova
D Shnaider [13]
Finalists
A Sabalenka [1] VS     M Andreeva [7] 120 13.4%
Zheng QW [8] VS     M Andreeva [7] 120 13.4%
Zheng QW [8] VS     J Ostapenko [23] 108 12.0%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     I Swiatek [2] 84 9.4%
Zheng QW [8] VS     C Gauff [4] 79 8.8%
Zheng QW [8] VS     I Swiatek [2] 33 3.7%
Zheng QW [8] VS     M Keys [5] 31 3.5%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     J Ostapenko [23] 29 3.2%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     C Gauff [4] 24 2.7%
E Rybakina [10] VS     I Swiatek [2] 22 2.5%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     M Keys [5] 21 2.3%
E Alexandrova [21] VS     M Andreeva [7] 17 1.9%
J Pegula [3] VS     M Andreeva [7] 12 1.3%
Zheng QW [8] VS     E Cocciaretto [L] 12 1.3%
E Alexandrova [21] VS     I Swiatek [2] 10 1.1%
E Alexandrova [21] VS     C Gauff [4] 8 0.9%
Zheng QW [8] VS     B Bencic 8 0.9%
E Rybakina [10] VS     M Andreeva [7] 8 0.9%
E Alexandrova [21] VS     J Ostapenko [23] 8 0.9%
Zheng QW [8] VS     D Vekic [19] 8 0.9%
J Pegula [3] VS     I Swiatek [2] 8 0.9%
E Svitolina [17] VS     I Swiatek [2] 7 0.8%
A Anisimova [15] VS     M Andreeva [7] 7 0.8%
A Sabalenka [1] VS     E Cocciaretto [L] 7 0.8%
A Anisimova [15] VS     I Swiatek [2] 6 0.7%
E Rybakina [10] VS     C Gauff [4] 6 0.7%
J Pegula [3] VS     C Gauff [4] 5 0.6%
E Rybakina [10] VS     E Cocciaretto [L] 5 0.6%
J Paolini [6] VS     I Swiatek [2] 5 0.6%
E Alexandrova [21] VS     E Cocciaretto [L] 5 0.6%
J Pegula [3] VS     M Keys [5] 5 0.6%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
E Svitolina [17] VS M Andreeva [7]
Zheng QW [8] VS E Navarro [11]
A Sabalenka [1] VS E Navarro [11]
3:
E Alexandrova [21] VS M Keys [5]
Zheng QW [8] VS N Osaka
A Anisimova [15] VS C Gauff [4]
2:
V Kudermetova VS M Keys [5]
E Rybakina [10] VS J Ostapenko [23]
E Rybakina [10] VS A Kalinskaya [30]
E Rybakina [10] VS D Vekic [19]
A Anisimova [15] VS J Ostapenko [23]
Zheng QW [8] VS A Eala [W]
A Anisimova [15] VS E Cocciaretto [L]
1:
E Svitolina [17] VS C Gauff [4]
A Sabalenka [1] VS D Vekic [19]
A Krueger VS I Swiatek [2]
A Sabalenka [1] VS A Sevastova
J Paolini [6] VS M Andreeva [7]
A Sabalenka [1] VS A Eala [W]
O Jabeur [26] VS M Andreeva [7]
J Pegula [3] VS N Osaka
M Sakkari VS J Ostapenko [23]
C Bucsa [L] VS C Gauff [4]
M Kostyuk [24] VS E Navarro [11]
D Kasatkina [14] VS C Gauff [4]
A Anisimova [15] VS M Keys [5]
J Paolini [6] VS B Bencic
O Jabeur [26] VS J Ostapenko [23]
J Pegula [3] VS B Bencic
Zheng QW [8] VS S Cirstea
E Alexandrova [21] VS D Vekic [19]
E Rybakina [10] VS L Fernandez [25]
E Rybakina [10] VS M Keys [5]
J Paolini [6] VS E Cocciaretto [L]
J Paolini [6] VS M Keys [5]
A Sabalenka [1] VS L Samsonova [18]
E Raducanu VS C Tauson [20]
E Rybakina [10] VS B Bencic
E Raducanu VS I Swiatek [2]
A Anisimova [15] VS E Navarro [11]
A Sabalenka [1] VS B Bencic
A Sabalenka [1] VS A Kalinskaya [30]
E Rybakina [10] VS A Pavlyuchenkova
J Pegula [3] VS J Ostapenko [23]
Zheng QW [8] VS A Kalinskaya [30]
E Rybakina [10] VS C Tauson [20]
E Alexandrova [21] VS D Shnaider [13]
Winner of 1st Quarter
Zheng QW [8] 483 53.8%
A Sabalenka [1] 339 37.8%
A Anisimova [15] 54 6.0%
V Kudermetova 6 0.7%
E Raducanu 5 0.6%
3:
A Krueger
C Bucsa [L]
2:
M Kostyuk [24]
1:
P Stearns
Y Putintseva [22]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
J Pegula [3] 267 29.8%
E Alexandrova [21] 208 23.2%
E Rybakina [10] 143 15.9%
J Paolini [6] 127 14.2%
E Svitolina [17] 103 11.5%
O Jabeur [26] 19 2.1%
Wang XinY 10 1.1%
V Azarenka 10 1.1%
4:
D Kasatkina [14]
3:
O Danilovic
1:
M Sakkari
V Jimenez Kasintseva [W]
M Kessler
Winner of 3rd Quarter
M Andreeva [7] 474 52.9%
C Gauff [4] 279 31.1%
E Cocciaretto [L] 83 9.3%
B Bencic 32 3.6%
C Tauson [20] 19 2.1%
4:
L Samsonova [18]
3:
L Fernandez [25]
1:
B Haddad Maia [16]
A Sasnovich [Q]
Winner of 4th Quarter
J Ostapenko [23] 337 37.6%
I Swiatek [2] 247 27.5%
M Keys [5] 196 21.9%
D Vekic [19] 37 4.1%
E Navarro [11] 30 3.3%
A Kalinskaya [30] 20 2.2%
N Osaka 11 1.2%
4:
A Eala [W]
L Noskova [31]
D Shnaider [13]
3:
S Cirstea
A Pavlyuchenkova
1:
A Sevastova
Winner of Section 1
A Anisimova [15] 459 51.1%
A Sabalenka [1] 427 47.5%
Y Putintseva [22] 9 1.0%
2:
E Mertens [28]
1:
P Stearns
C Osorio
Winner of Section 2
Zheng QW [8] 754 83.7%
C Bucsa [L] 77 8.5%
S Kenin [32] 22 2.4%
V Kudermetova 16 1.8%
E Raducanu 12 1.3%
M Kostyuk [24] 10 1.1%
A Krueger 8 0.9%
2:
A Potapova
Winner of Section 3
J Pegula [3] 380 42.3%
E Alexandrova [21] 379 42.2%
O Jabeur [26] 92 10.2%
D Kasatkina [14] 27 3.0%
V Azarenka 14 1.6%
O Danilovic 6 0.7%
1:
V Jimenez Kasintseva [W]
Winner of Section 4
J Paolini [6] 371 41.2%
E Rybakina [10] 311 34.5%
E Svitolina [17] 195 21.6%
Wang XinY 15 1.7%
4:
B Andreescu
2:
M Sakkari
M Kessler
1:
M Linette [29]
Winner of Section 5
M Andreeva [7] 696 77.3%
E Cocciaretto [L] 195 21.7%
L Samsonova [18] 8 0.9%
1:
M Bouzkova
Winner of Section 6
C Gauff [4] 567 63.1%
B Bencic 167 18.6%
C Tauson [20] 140 15.6%
L Fernandez [25] 17 1.9%
4:
B Haddad Maia [16]
2:
D Yastremska
1:
B Pera [L]
A Sasnovich [Q]
Winner of Section 7
M Keys [5] 475 52.8%
E Navarro [11] 213 23.7%
D Vekic [19] 114 12.7%
A Kalinskaya [30] 49 5.4%
N Osaka 28 3.1%
S Cirstea 16 1.8%
3:
H Baptiste [W]
1:
D Parry [Q]
IC Begu
Winner of Section 8
J Ostapenko [23] 602 66.9%
I Swiatek [2] 267 29.7%
L Noskova [31] 13 1.4%
D Shnaider [13] 8 0.9%
A Eala [W] 6 0.7%
3:
A Pavlyuchenkova
1:
A Sevastova