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Draw Challenges
2025 Australian Open Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (2620 participants)
Champion
J Sinner [1] 1119 42.9%
C Alcaraz [3] 749 28.7%
N Djokovic [7] 428 16.4%
A Zverev [2] 158 6.1%
D Medvedev [5] 95 3.6%
T Fritz [4] 10 0.4%
U Humbert [14] 5 0.2%
4:
T Paul [12]
A Rublev [9]
G Dimitrov [10]
Zhang ZZ
A de Minaur [8]
3:
C Ruud [6]
N Kyrgios
Shang JC
2:
T Machac [26]
H Rune [13]
1:
J Fonseca [Q]
F Auger-Aliassime [29]
D Shapovalov
M Landaluce [Q]
A Dougaz [Q]
S Tsitsipas [11]
B Shelton [21]
J Mensik
K Majchrzak [Q]
S Korda [22]
J Draper [15]
A Fils [20]
G Mpetshi Perricard [30]
Winner of Top Half
J Sinner [1] 2144 82.1%
D Medvedev [5] 319 12.2%
T Fritz [4] 61 2.3%
A Rublev [9] 19 0.7%
A de Minaur [8] 12 0.5%
Zhang ZZ 10 0.4%
S Tsitsipas [11] 9 0.3%
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] 7 0.3%
H Rune [13] 5 0.2%
4:
D Shapovalov
3:
L Musetti [16]
K Khachanov [19]
2:
H Hurkacz [18]
B Shelton [21]
1:
J Fonseca [Q]
S Wawrinka [W]
M Landaluce [Q]
K Samrej [W]
G Monfils
K Majchrzak [Q]
Z Bergs
F Cobolli [32]
B Coric
B van de Zandschulp
Winner of Bottom Half
C Alcaraz [3] 1314 50.3%
N Djokovic [7] 645 24.7%
A Zverev [2] 560 21.5%
T Machac [26] 13 0.5%
T Paul [12] 10 0.4%
Shang JC 9 0.3%
J Draper [15] 9 0.3%
U Humbert [14] 8 0.3%
G Dimitrov [10] 8 0.3%
C Ruud [6] 7 0.3%
N Kyrgios 5 0.2%
J Mensik 5 0.2%
4:
J Lehecka [24]
3:
A Fils [20]
2:
Bu YCKT
1:
F Auger-Aliassime [29]
N Basavareddy [W]
A Dougaz [Q]
J Faria [Q]
R Opelka
L Klein [Q]
S Korda [22]
A Tabilo [23]
Finalists
J Sinner [1] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 1158 44.4%
J Sinner [1] VS     A Zverev [2] 474 18.2%
J Sinner [1] VS     N Djokovic [7] 460 17.6%
D Medvedev [5] VS     N Djokovic [7] 129 4.9%
D Medvedev [5] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 115 4.4%
D Medvedev [5] VS     A Zverev [2] 61 2.3%
T Fritz [4] VS     N Djokovic [7] 25 1.0%
T Fritz [4] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 21 0.8%
T Fritz [4] VS     A Zverev [2] 10 0.4%
A Rublev [9] VS     C Alcaraz [3] 10 0.4%
J Sinner [1] VS     T Machac [26] 9 0.3%
J Sinner [1] VS     J Draper [15] 8 0.3%
A Rublev [9] VS     N Djokovic [7] 6 0.2%
J Sinner [1] VS     C Ruud [6] 5 0.2%
D Medvedev [5] VS     T Paul [12] 5 0.2%
J Sinner [1] VS     G Dimitrov [10] 5 0.2%
A de Minaur [8] VS     N Djokovic [7] 5 0.2%
J Sinner [1] VS     J Mensik 5 0.2%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
J Sinner [1] VS U Humbert [14]
J Sinner [1] VS J Lehecka [24]
S Tsitsipas [11] VS N Djokovic [7]
Zhang ZZ VS Shang JC
3:
A de Minaur [8] VS A Zverev [2]
J Sinner [1] VS T Paul [12]
A Rublev [9] VS A Zverev [2]
D Medvedev [5] VS T Machac [26]
A de Minaur [8] VS C Alcaraz [3]
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] VS N Djokovic [7]
J Sinner [1] VS Shang JC
2:
S Tsitsipas [11] VS C Alcaraz [3]
H Hurkacz [18] VS N Djokovic [7]
H Rune [13] VS A Zverev [2]
Zhang ZZ VS N Djokovic [7]
L Musetti [16] VS N Djokovic [7]
K Khachanov [19] VS N Djokovic [7]
D Medvedev [5] VS Shang JC
J Sinner [1] VS N Kyrgios
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] VS C Alcaraz [3]
D Shapovalov VS N Djokovic [7]
S Tsitsipas [11] VS A Zverev [2]
D Medvedev [5] VS G Dimitrov [10]
Zhang ZZ VS A Zverev [2]
1:
J Fonseca [Q] VS C Alcaraz [3]
J Sinner [1] VS A Fils [20]
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] VS T Machac [26]
T Fritz [4] VS U Humbert [14]
S Wawrinka [W] VS N Kyrgios
Zhang ZZ VS F Auger-Aliassime [29]
D Shapovalov VS Bu YCKT
M Landaluce [Q] VS N Basavareddy [W]
T Fritz [4] VS A Fils [20]
A de Minaur [8] VS N Kyrgios
K Khachanov [19] VS C Alcaraz [3]
K Samrej [W] VS A Dougaz [Q]
T Fritz [4] VS J Faria [Q]
T Fritz [4] VS C Ruud [6]
H Rune [13] VS N Djokovic [7]
S Tsitsipas [11] VS T Paul [12]
B Shelton [21] VS N Kyrgios
Zhang ZZ VS J Draper [15]
J Sinner [1] VS Bu YCKT
D Shapovalov VS U Humbert [14]
J Sinner [1] VS R Opelka
G Monfils VS N Djokovic [7]
K Majchrzak [Q] VS L Klein [Q]
Z Bergs VS S Korda [22]
B Shelton [21] VS T Paul [12]
T Fritz [4] VS G Dimitrov [10]
D Medvedev [5] VS U Humbert [14]
H Rune [13] VS C Alcaraz [3]
H Rune [13] VS A Fils [20]
D Medvedev [5] VS C Ruud [6]
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] VS A Zverev [2]
L Musetti [16] VS A Zverev [2]
J Sinner [1] VS A Tabilo [23]
F Cobolli [32] VS U Humbert [14]
B Coric VS A Zverev [2]
B van de Zandschulp VS N Djokovic [7]
Winner of 1st Quarter
J Sinner [1] 2470 94.6%
S Tsitsipas [11] 47 1.8%
A de Minaur [8] 37 1.4%
Zhang ZZ 18 0.7%
H Rune [13] 14 0.5%
K Khachanov [19] 7 0.3%
H Hurkacz [18] 5 0.2%
3:
B van de Zandschulp
2:
M Berrettini
1:
TM Etcheverry
N Jarry
M Landaluce [Q]
T Schoolkate [W]
D Lajovic
C Norrie
Z Bergs
F Cobolli [32]
Winner of 2nd Quarter
D Medvedev [5] 1425 54.6%
T Fritz [4] 929 35.6%
A Rublev [9] 74 2.8%
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] 43 1.6%
B Shelton [21] 34 1.3%
J Fonseca [Q] 25 1.0%
L Musetti [16] 25 1.0%
A Popyrin [25] 21 0.8%
D Shapovalov 10 0.4%
F Tiafoe [17] 10 0.4%
3:
F Marozsan
S Wawrinka [W]
2:
G Monfils
B Coric
1:
M Krueger [Q]
P Carreno Busta
F Comesana
K Samrej [W]
K Majchrzak [Q]
Winner of 3rd Quarter
C Alcaraz [3] 1700 65.1%
N Djokovic [7] 778 29.8%
T Machac [26] 44 1.7%
J Draper [15] 37 1.4%
G Dimitrov [10] 20 0.8%
J Lehecka [24] 19 0.7%
2:
T Kokkinakis
R Opelka
S Korda [22]
1:
P Kotov
N Basavareddy [W]
A Dougaz [Q]
J Faria [Q]
L Klein [Q]
J Thompson [27]
Winner of 4th Quarter
A Zverev [2] 2185 83.8%
T Paul [12] 131 5.0%
C Ruud [6] 96 3.7%
J Mensik 42 1.6%
Shang JC 39 1.5%
A Fils [20] 32 1.2%
U Humbert [14] 26 1.0%
N Kyrgios 25 1.0%
F Auger-Aliassime [29] 16 0.6%
Bu YCKT 9 0.3%
1:
A Walton
H Habib [Q]
N Basilashvili [Q]
R Carballes Baena
K Nishikori
J Fearnley
A Tabilo [23]
Winner of Section 1
J Sinner [1] 2536 97.1%
Zhang ZZ 24 0.9%
H Rune [13] 22 0.8%
H Hurkacz [18] 14 0.5%
M Berrettini 6 0.2%
2:
N Jarry
T Griekspoor
1:
TM Etcheverry
M Kecmanovic
T Schoolkate [W]
D Lajovic
T Daniel
C Norrie
F Cobolli [32]
Winner of Section 2
A de Minaur [8] 1747 66.9%
S Tsitsipas [11] 626 24.0%
K Khachanov [19] 180 6.9%
B van de Zandschulp 15 0.6%
A Michelsen 12 0.5%
A Bublik 11 0.4%
F Cerundolo [31] 7 0.3%
3:
A Mannarino
2:
Z Bergs
M Landaluce [Q]
1:
T Boyer [Q]
F Coria
F Diaz Acosta
J McCabe [W]
G Diallo
L Nardi
Winner of Section 3
T Fritz [4] 2026 77.6%
L Musetti [16] 270 10.3%
G Mpetshi Perricard [30] 125 4.8%
B Shelton [21] 114 4.4%
D Shapovalov 28 1.1%
B Coric 20 0.8%
G Monfils 12 0.5%
M Arnaldi 5 0.2%
3:
P Carreno Busta
B Nakashima
2:
R Bautista Agut
1:
F Comesana
C Garin [Q]
K Majchrzak [Q]
Winner of Section 4
D Medvedev [5] 2208 84.5%
A Rublev [9] 177 6.8%
A Popyrin [25] 89 3.4%
F Tiafoe [17] 61 2.3%
J Fonseca [Q] 54 2.1%
F Marozsan 11 0.4%
S Wawrinka [W] 5 0.2%
2:
T Seyboth Wild
1:
L Sonego
M Krueger [Q]
L Tien [Q]
R Hijikata
K Samrej [W]
C Ugo Carabelli
Winner of Section 5
N Djokovic [7] 2015 77.2%
T Machac [26] 281 10.8%
G Dimitrov [10] 162 6.2%
J Lehecka [24] 125 4.8%
R Opelka 20 0.8%
1:
O Jasika [W]
P Kotov
N Basavareddy [W]
G Onclin [Q]
J Faria [Q]
L Tu [W]
S Nagal
D Goffin
Winner of Section 6
C Alcaraz [3] 2476 94.8%
J Draper [15] 108 4.1%
S Korda [22] 13 0.5%
4:
T Kokkinakis
J Thompson [27]
3:
A Shevchenko
1:
D Koepfer [Q]
A Dougaz [Q]
A Vukic
L Klein [Q]
Winner of Section 7
C Ruud [6] 893 34.2%
T Paul [12] 874 33.5%
Shang JC 307 11.8%
J Mensik 263 10.1%
F Auger-Aliassime [29] 213 8.2%
A Tabilo [23] 27 1.0%
K Nishikori 22 0.8%
4:
JL Struff
2:
A Davidovich Fokina
1:
D Stricker
C O'Connell
T Monteiro [Q]
N Basilashvili [Q]
R Carballes Baena
J Duckworth
Winner of Section 8
A Zverev [2] 2408 92.2%
A Fils [20] 66 2.5%
U Humbert [14] 56 2.1%
N Kyrgios 51 2.0%
Bu YCKT 25 1.0%
2:
S Baez [28]
1:
A Walton
H Habib [Q]
M Gigante [Q]
J Fearnley