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Draw Challenges
2025 Indian Wells Men's Singles Draw Challenges Distribution of predictions (766 participants)
Champion
C Alcaraz [2] 458 59.8%
N Djokovic [6] 141 18.4%
A Zverev [1] 52 6.8%
D Medvedev [5] 32 4.2%
T Fritz [3] 19 2.5%
A Rublev [7] 13 1.7%
T Paul [10] 7 0.9%
C Ruud [4] 6 0.8%
Zhang ZZ 5 0.7%
4:
J Draper [13]
J Fonseca [W]
A de Minaur [9]
3:
T Machac [19]
H Rune [12]
D Shapovalov [27]
2:
S Tsitsipas [8]
L Tien
1:
R Carballes Baena
JL Struff
T Griekspoor
U Humbert [18]
J Lehecka [23]
A Fils [20]
G Dimitrov [14]
Bu YCKT
Winner of Top Half
A Zverev [1] 287 37.5%
D Medvedev [5] 179 23.4%
T Paul [10] 80 10.4%
S Tsitsipas [8] 61 8.0%
T Machac [19] 37 4.8%
C Ruud [4] 26 3.4%
H Rune [12] 17 2.2%
Zhang ZZ 16 2.1%
J Lehecka [23] 15 2.0%
U Humbert [18] 14 1.8%
L Musetti [15] 12 1.6%
A Fils [20] 7 0.9%
4:
Bu YCKT
3:
A Michelsen [31]
2:
F Tiafoe [16]
1:
C Moutet
R Carballes Baena
J Munar
T Griekspoor
M Berrettini [28]
A Muller
Winner of Bottom Half
C Alcaraz [2] 514 67.1%
N Djokovic [6] 162 21.1%
T Fritz [3] 24 3.1%
A Rublev [7] 21 2.7%
J Fonseca [W] 8 1.0%
A de Minaur [9] 8 1.0%
J Draper [13] 6 0.8%
4:
B Shelton [11]
D Shapovalov [27]
3:
G Dimitrov [14]
L Tien
2:
H Hurkacz [21]
1:
J Mensik
A Tabilo [30]
JL Struff
F Auger-Aliassime [17]
S Korda [24]
N Kyrgios [P]
K Khachanov [22]
Finalists
A Zverev [1] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 203 26.5%
D Medvedev [5] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 110 14.4%
A Zverev [1] VS     N Djokovic [6] 61 8.0%
T Paul [10] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 54 7.0%
D Medvedev [5] VS     N Djokovic [6] 48 6.3%
S Tsitsipas [8] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 44 5.7%
T Machac [19] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 25 3.3%
C Ruud [4] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 20 2.6%
T Paul [10] VS     N Djokovic [6] 15 2.0%
H Rune [12] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 12 1.6%
S Tsitsipas [8] VS     N Djokovic [6] 10 1.3%
J Lehecka [23] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 9 1.2%
Zhang ZZ VS     C Alcaraz [2] 9 1.2%
U Humbert [18] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 9 1.2%
A Zverev [1] VS     A Rublev [7] 8 1.0%
T Machac [19] VS     N Djokovic [6] 7 0.9%
L Musetti [15] VS     C Alcaraz [2] 7 0.9%
T Paul [10] VS     T Fritz [3] 6 0.8%
A Zverev [1] VS     T Fritz [3] 6 0.8%
Zhang ZZ VS     N Djokovic [6] 5 0.7%
D Medvedev [5] VS     A Rublev [7] 5 0.7%
Finalists Long-tailed Data
4:
D Medvedev [5] VS J Fonseca [W]
A Zverev [1] VS A de Minaur [9]
A Fils [20] VS C Alcaraz [2]
U Humbert [18] VS N Djokovic [6]
3:
D Medvedev [5] VS T Fritz [3]
T Paul [10] VS A Rublev [7]
T Machac [19] VS T Fritz [3]
Bu YCKT VS C Alcaraz [2]
L Musetti [15] VS N Djokovic [6]
D Medvedev [5] VS L Tien
2:
S Tsitsipas [8] VS T Fritz [3]
S Tsitsipas [8] VS A de Minaur [9]
A Fils [20] VS N Djokovic [6]
C Ruud [4] VS T Fritz [3]
A Michelsen [31] VS C Alcaraz [2]
D Medvedev [5] VS B Shelton [11]
D Medvedev [5] VS J Draper [13]
C Ruud [4] VS B Shelton [11]
J Lehecka [23] VS N Djokovic [6]
C Ruud [4] VS N Djokovic [6]
H Rune [12] VS A Rublev [7]
1:
C Moutet VS C Alcaraz [2]
A Michelsen [31] VS J Fonseca [W]
A Zverev [1] VS J Mensik
R Carballes Baena VS A Tabilo [30]
F Tiafoe [16] VS N Djokovic [6]
J Munar VS JL Struff
J Lehecka [23] VS J Draper [13]
T Griekspoor VS F Auger-Aliassime [17]
A Zverev [1] VS S Korda [24]
Zhang ZZ VS N Kyrgios [P]
S Tsitsipas [8] VS J Fonseca [W]
U Humbert [18] VS A Rublev [7]
J Lehecka [23] VS T Fritz [3]
D Medvedev [5] VS K Khachanov [22]
M Berrettini [28] VS N Djokovic [6]
J Lehecka [23] VS J Fonseca [W]
Zhang ZZ VS G Dimitrov [14]
A Muller VS C Alcaraz [2]
A Zverev [1] VS H Hurkacz [21]
A Zverev [1] VS J Fonseca [W]
A Fils [20] VS H Hurkacz [21]
L Musetti [15] VS G Dimitrov [14]
T Paul [10] VS G Dimitrov [14]
T Machac [19] VS J Draper [13]
A Zverev [1] VS D Shapovalov [27]
H Rune [12] VS A de Minaur [9]
T Paul [10] VS A de Minaur [9]
F Tiafoe [16] VS C Alcaraz [2]
T Machac [19] VS D Shapovalov [27]
H Rune [12] VS N Djokovic [6]
H Rune [12] VS D Shapovalov [27]
S Tsitsipas [8] VS J Draper [13]
D Medvedev [5] VS D Shapovalov [27]
J Lehecka [23] VS A Rublev [7]
Bu YCKT VS T Fritz [3]
S Tsitsipas [8] VS A Rublev [7]
L Musetti [15] VS J Draper [13]
0:
H Rune [12] VS J Draper [13]
Winner of 1st Quarter
A Zverev [1] 441 57.6%
S Tsitsipas [8] 121 15.8%
T Machac [19] 96 12.5%
H Rune [12] 41 5.4%
U Humbert [18] 28 3.7%
M Berrettini [28] 20 2.6%
F Tiafoe [16] 7 0.9%
3:
T Griekspoor
2:
A Bublik
1:
C Moutet
R Carballes Baena
J Munar
G Mpetshi Perricard [29]
T Seyboth Wild
F Marozsan
A Muller
Winner of 2nd Quarter
D Medvedev [5] 288 37.6%
T Paul [10] 168 22.0%
C Ruud [4] 119 15.6%
J Lehecka [23] 76 9.9%
A Fils [20] 33 4.3%
Zhang ZZ 31 4.1%
L Musetti [15] 29 3.8%
A Michelsen [31] 9 1.2%
Bu YCKT 7 0.9%
2:
A Popyrin [26]
1:
R Opelka [W]
L Nardi
Z Bergs
Winner of 3rd Quarter
T Fritz [3] 355 46.4%
A Rublev [7] 166 21.7%
J Fonseca [W] 61 8.0%
J Draper [13] 44 5.8%
F Auger-Aliassime [17] 37 4.8%
B Shelton [11] 37 4.8%
L Tien 27 3.5%
J Mensik 22 2.9%
K Khachanov [22] 9 1.2%
2:
B Nakashima [32]
1:
A Tabilo [30]
A Shevchenko
A Kovacevic
M Navone
D Lajovic
Winner of 4th Quarter
C Alcaraz [2] 553 72.2%
N Djokovic [6] 180 23.5%
A de Minaur [9] 13 1.7%
D Shapovalov [27] 8 1.0%
4:
H Hurkacz [21]
3:
G Dimitrov [14]
1:
JL Struff
S Korda [24]
N Kyrgios [P]
A Davidovich Fokina
M McDonald [W]
Winner of Section 1
A Zverev [1] 552 72.2%
T Machac [19] 163 21.3%
A Bublik 21 2.7%
G Mpetshi Perricard [29] 12 1.6%
F Tiafoe [16] 10 1.3%
3:
T Griekspoor
2:
M Kecmanovic
1:
Y Watanuki [Q]
F Marozsan
Winner of Section 2
S Tsitsipas [8] 277 36.2%
H Rune [12] 269 35.1%
U Humbert [18] 138 18.0%
M Berrettini [28] 68 8.9%
C Moutet 5 0.7%
3:
K Nishikori
2:
T Seyboth Wild
1:
R Carballes Baena
J Munar
A Muller
J Thompson
Winner of Section 3
C Ruud [4] 388 50.7%
L Musetti [15] 128 16.7%
A Fils [20] 121 15.8%
Zhang ZZ 61 8.0%
A Popyrin [26] 36 4.7%
Z Bergs 15 2.0%
R Opelka [W] 13 1.7%
2:
N Basilashvili [Q]
M Giron
Winner of Section 4
D Medvedev [5] 339 44.3%
T Paul [10] 235 30.7%
J Lehecka [23] 134 17.5%
Bu YCKT 25 3.3%
A Michelsen [31] 20 2.6%
C Norrie 6 0.8%
3:
N Basavareddy [W]
2:
L Nardi
1:
A Vukic
F Cobolli
Winner of Section 5
A Rublev [7] 354 46.3%
B Shelton [11] 181 23.7%
L Tien 101 13.2%
J Mensik 98 12.8%
K Khachanov [22] 21 2.7%
4:
B Nakashima [32]
2:
M Navone
A Shevchenko
1:
M Arnaldi
A Kovacevic
Winner of Section 6
T Fritz [3] 512 66.9%
J Draper [13] 97 12.7%
J Fonseca [W] 84 11.0%
F Auger-Aliassime [17] 65 8.5%
2:
S Baez
D Lajovic
1:
A Tabilo [30]
B Bonzi
J Brooksby [P]
Winner of Section 7
N Djokovic [6] 565 73.9%
A de Minaur [9] 164 21.4%
H Hurkacz [21] 19 2.5%
A Davidovich Fokina 9 1.2%
N Kyrgios [P] 6 0.8%
1:
F Cerundolo [25]
M McDonald [W]
Winner of Section 8
C Alcaraz [2] 720 94.1%
D Shapovalov [27] 29 3.8%
G Dimitrov [14] 9 1.2%
S Korda [24] 5 0.7%
1:
JL Struff
G Monfils